Protesters demonstrate during a rally outside the Edward W. Brooke Courthouse on October 29, 2020, signs to expel and end predictions.
David L. Ryan / Boston Globe via Getty Images
While state expulsion restrictions have led to hundreds of thousands of additional coronovirus cases, new research has found an alarm about what will happen when the national eviction ban ends next month.
During the epidemic, which at one point was estimated that it would displace as many as 40 million people, 43 states, plus Washington, DC, temporarily barred eviction. Many moratoriums lasted just 10 weeks, while proceedings in some states continue to be banned.
Researchers at the University of California, Los Angeles, University of California, San Francisco, Johns Hopkins University, Boston University and Wake Forest University School of Law found that state moratoriums lifted and allowed eviction proceedings to continue beyond 433,700 in March and Covid-19 and 10,700 additional death cases in the US between September.
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The findings have not yet been published in a journal, but will be available online from Monday.
“When people are evicted, they often leave with friends and family, and this increases your number of contacts,” said Catherine, one of the authors of the research and a postdoctoral fellow at the UTLA Fielding School of Public Health. Said Leifith. “If people have to enter a homeless shelter, these are indoor places that can be quite crowded.”
In order to understand the direct effect that the state has on the prevalence of coronaviruses continuing in the state, researchers controlled for stay orders, mask orders, school closures, test rates, and other factors. The study period was from March to early September before the most recent spike in cases.
It was also in September that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ordered through the end of the year to prevent the country’s most evictions, so that in the US, more than 12.9 million people became ill and 263,000 people were released.
If the expulsion of the CDC is not banned until 2021, experts say many new cases are likely to be out of people’s own homes and apartments.
“This is a time where it is no exaggeration to say that evictions can lead to death for many people,” said Helen Matthews, communications manager at City Life Vita Urbana, a nonprofit in Boston.